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Peter Ubel author of Free Market Madness, was today’s second keynote speaker and challenged the idea that an empowered and education consumer is always a good thing.

Ubel started out by posing the question if the idea of a free market, where increased demand for a product or a service causes costs to fall and the quality levels increase, could be applied to the healthcare industry.

However, one of the challenges is that humans are typically flawed decision makers and prone to poor judgement. He illustrated this with an example of where patients, who were educated about the relatively low risk of developing a particular cancer, were less likely to choose to have the regular tests for early detection. He believes that this is also true of clinicians, who are also likely to make irrational decisions. If something is new, expensive and scarce then doctors will likely choose it as the belief is that it must be better than something already on the market.  Could this be one of the reasons for the spiralling cost of healthcare delivery?

All of us, whether patients or doctors, make decisions based not just on available information, but also under the influence of unconscious factors, and this has implications for healthcare policy makers. He made four key points:

-          You can’t expect the free market to solve everything as there are lots of unconscious factors influencing outcomes

-          We must move beyond comprehension alone – education does not solve the issue

-          Persuasion should be used appropriately with honest labelling and through social marketing

-          Utilise financial incentives by taxing unhealthy foods and subsidizing healthy food or fitness centres

Ubel concluded by stating that all of this must be done by balancing freedom and well-being, and by helping markets to do what they do best and restrain them from what they do worst.

It was a whirlwind tour through some interesting research but certainly a topic worthy of further reading.

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In this morning’s opening keynote at the Partners Connected Health Symposium, Dr Jason Hwang, co-author with Clayton Christensen of the Innovator’s Prescription spoke about the application of disruptive innovation on the healthcare industry.

Disruptive innovation describes a process by which a product or service takes root initially in simple applications at the bottom of a market and then relentlessly moves ‘up market’, eventually displacing established competitors. This disruption allows new consumers to begin to use the technology whereas in the past it was inaccessible to them. This can be seen in the computing industry where the technology has moved from mainframes to mini-computers to PCs and to smart-phones, which has also moved the location of the technology from a central location to being accessible anywhere it is required. This decentralization through disruption leads to increased accessibility but it is important to note that companies often add functionality through innovation faster than consumer wants or needs the technology

In healthcare this same move to centralize everything, can be seen with the co-location of multiple services and technologies all under the same roof in a big hospital. The emerging trend however is to move this care provision from a central location out into the community and into the home. This also means that different people will be able to deliver the care such as nurses and empowered patients themselves, supported by new technologies.

This in-turn requires us to look at the dominant business model in healthcare where everything is centralized on the general hospital. This implies that many different types of technology and specialities in one location. The business model then has to support all of these resources but with the number of hand-offs that result, it can be prone to error and forces increased costs to maintain profitability.

Hwang asserted that hospitals are expensive conflations of three specific types of business models:

1)      Solution shops – typically very dependent on people offering diagnostic and intuitive activities on a fee for service basis

2)      Value-added process businesses – typically process dependent where a certain task is repeated enough times to where it becomes possible to accurately predict the outcome, for a fee.

3)      Facilitated Networks – where users, both providers and patients, transact and interact with one another on a fee for membership basis.

As disruption occurs in the healthcare industry, Hwang believes that a number of changes will occur to these business models

-          Specialist hospitals will emerge to address the solution shops model, bringing together a number of different specialties to reach a diagnosis sooner

-          Treatment centers focused on a particular procedure, e.g. heart by-pass, where technicians can be involved in delivering the treatment, rather than doctors, as they have been specifically trained on parts of the procedure and repeat it on a daily basis

-          Social networking through sites such as PatientsLikeMe, empowering individuals to do more for their own care delivery

Dr. Hwang concluded however, that each of these new propositions will require new value networks to gain traction in the market and for this to happen, having the right partners will be key to success.

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As part of a futurist session today, at the Partners Connected Health Symposium, Tandy Tower from Microsoft Robotics, proposed an idea that assistive care robots could become common place in many homes within the next 3-5 years. These robots would be developed in response the ageing demographics that are evident across the world and to address the shortage of caregivers available to meet the needs of this section of the population.

These robotic nurses or home care assistants, would be able to help with medication reminders, allow medical peripherals to be connected, support video consultations with a clinician and deliver social interaction opportunities with other people in a network. Another idea proposed was that these robots could help with coaching and rehabilitation therapy for patients who have suffered a stroke.

 

Tower believes that this technology could be available for less than $5000 but I don’t believe that cost will be the main barrier to deployment and adoption. A bigger challenge, in my opinion, will be the acceptance of a robotic humanoid moving around your home and constantly checking up on your actions. Would you have a robonurse in your home?

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The second keynote this morning was from James Mongan, MD, CEO of Partners Healthcare.

Within a few months there will likely be a bill signed on healthcare reform but Mongan believes that it will not have realised everything that was set out to be achieved. He asserts that the work on reform will continue for a number of years afterwards.

Despite the fact that there are huge numbers of uninsured, most still receive the treatment they need. What doesn’t happen though is that treatment for chronic conditions is not delivered in a preventative manner.

One proposal in the reform legislation is to introduce an Individual Mandate but Mongan asserts that this appears to be a new tax with another name. There may be restrictions on who actually pays this mandate but it doesn’t address the core need for insurance reform.

But what about the issue of controlling healthcare costs? Barriers to cost include the way costs are reimbursed and the lack of integration of the provider systems. With most items that you buy, you benefit immediately, but with healthcare payments you benefit later

It is likely that any new legislation will blend taxes, employer payments and individual payments but the key issue is the fairness of financing – who pays and how much? In Mongan's opinion, it needs to be a balance between individual liberty and justice for all.

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Over the next two days, I’ll be blogging from the 2009 Connected Health Symposium, run by Partners Healthcare Center for Connected Health, in Boston.

The opening keynote at this year’s symposium was delivered by Stuart Altman, Professor of National Health Policy at Brandeis University, who spoke on the topic of healthcare reform and some of the challenges it brings.

In 1971, US spending on healthcare delivery was $75 billion, or 7.5% of GDP but today this has reached $2.5 trillion or approximately 17% of GDP. Many people have tried to address this for years but 3 clear issues have emerged that need to be addressed:

1)      Create a universal healthcare financing system

2)      Develop programmes to reduce the rate of growth in healthcare spending

3)      Improve the quality of care delivered

The current political discussions in the US try to address these issues and will likely reduce the overall federal spend but spend from other sectors may increase. These would include increased spending by states and increased payments for insurance by younger people.

Professor Altman then introduced what he called Altman’s Law: almost every powerful constituent group favours health reform but, if it is not their plan, they prefer the status quo. In the case of the current reform, the industry to see most negative impact will be the Insurance Companies – all other stakeholder groups will either get additional funding or stay the same, making it easier for the reform to succeed.

In conclusion he stated the need to change the payment and delivery system, through an appropriate but effective comparative effectiveness system that includes clinical and cost effectiveness components.

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